Population and Politics: Future Growth
Introduction
Customer 6 Billion
On October 12, 1999, the
Earth welcomed a newborn child that brought our planet's population up
to the 6 billion mark, according to the U.N. Population Fund. While
this is an astoundingly large number of people to have on the planet,
what makes this figure even more remarkable is that as recent as 1960,
there were only a little over 3 billion people on the planet. For the
last century, we have been averaging a rate of increase in the world's
population that would double it about every 50 years. If this
continues, it means that we will have close to 12 billion people on the
planet by the middle of this century. By some people's estimates, this
would amount to complete environmental devastation if it were to
happen.
While the
world's population has been growing at a staggering pace, it has not
been a universal growth. Stable, developed countries like those in
Europe have not seen that much growth. In fact, some of these countries
have actually experienced a decline in their
population. Almost all of the growth has been in developing countries.
In some African countries, growth rates of more than 3% are not
uncommon. An ironic part of this problem is that many of these
countries with high growth rates are not even able to take care of the
food, clothing, and housing needs
of the citizens that they have right now.
U.S. Issues
In the U.S., our growth
rate has been declining for years. We currently have a natural growth
rate of about .6%. However, our overall growth rate is close to 1%
because of immigration. This has been the situation for many decades
now. In fact, the reason why our natural
growth rate is as high as it is is because of the children
that were/are being born to people that have immigrated to
the U.S. in the last several decades. If we remove all of
the people who have immigrated to the U.S. in the last several
decades and their children from the census roles, the population
of the U.S. would show no increase over that time period.
This situation is the source of some amount of controversy.
Some groups view this growth as good. As the overall population
of the U.S. ages, we will need an influx of workers to keep
our economy stable, they claim. Others see this immigration
in a different light. They see the influx of immigrants creating
downward pressures on salaries and increasing the demand for
social services.
The following websites will give you more information about
population demographics and the controversy surrounding immigration in
the U.S. Read through them and answer the questions below.
Population and Demographics
PopExpo
Census
Bureau International Database (Be sure to check out the data for
Afghanistan, Italy, Bulgaria, United States, and Zimbabwe,
as well as any other countries)
Immigration
Federation
for American Immigration Reform
CATO
Institute
After reading through these and any other sites that you
might find, answer the following questions:
- How do the rates of natural increase compare for Afghanistan,
Italy, Bulgaria, United States, and Zimbabwe? How do the
demographic profiles compare? Why do you think each country's
demographic profile is the way it is?
- How many people were on the Earth when you were born?
What percentage of babies born worldwide in the same year as you are
dead? What percentage of babies born in the U.S. in the same year
as you are dead? What
percentage of the Earth's population is younger than you? What
scenario do you see for the future of the Earth?
- Should immigration in the U.S. be cut, increased, or remain
the same? Why (Support your position with evidence)?
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